August has been a fairly quiet month in the Atlantic Basin. There have been a couple of weak storms that have not really been much of a threat.
The National Hurricane Center is watching a better defined low coming off the coast of Africa tonight.
This low will enter a more favorable area for development as we head into the Labor Day weekend.
At this point the NHC (National Hurricane Center) has an 80% chance of formation, and a 90% chance through 5 days. If and when this happens, this low will be named “Florence”.
As it heads into the end of the weekend and into early next week, we will see the system being steered by a weakness in the high to the north. This will help the movement be generally west-northwest through the weekend, with a turn more to the northwest or north-northwest heading into next week.
We are nearing the peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season
Even though it has been quiet for much of the past 6 weeks or so, this is typically the time of the year that we start to enter the peak in storms in the Atlantic.
If you remember, it was a very active period last year, with Harvey becoming an inland post-tropical system that would eventually bring us rain & cool temps in Ohio to open up September.
Also, near the Cabo Verde (aka Cape Verde Islands), there was a storm forming a year ago that would become a monster in early September, Hurricane Irma.
A year ago tonight Irma was already a strong tropical storm at this point with winds at 60mph.
We will continue to watch Six, or Florence through the weekend and next week as well. Activity in the Atlantic Basin should be lower this year, but we are still entering the active period.
If you have questions about the tropics, hurricanes, or any other weather questions, email me email@example.com