March is going to start with a couple of drier days with temps just short of normal in the lower 40s. We should see rather cloudy skies with some sunshine.
Changes will arrive with our next incoming weather system that will start to move in overnight Saturday night and into Sunday.
We will see light snow showers overnight Saturday into Sunday. I do not think this will bring much more than a dusting to start.
As we head into the morning hours on Sunday, moisture will lift north and snow showers will start to form.
As we head through the morning and into the early afternoon hours, we could see some rain showers mixing in, mainly in the far south and southeast. This could make the overall snowfall forecast tricky in the south, and over the next few days, a small change in this warmer line could have big impacts on snowfall numbers.
By the afternoon, the colder air will work into the area, and should change all the moisture back over to snowfall. Notice on the model the line of more moderate to heavier snow along and south of US-22.
By the evening, this system is exiting to the east, and the snow showers should be tapering down. This will end with light snow showers, and colder winds.
By 6am Monday, we should have roughly 6-12 hours of snow free weather across most of our area. Temps will be significantly colder on Monday morning in the lower to middle teens with wind chills near 0!
Snowfall totals generally look impressive given the average for the month is just a touch over 4″. Between now and this weekend, these totals will have to be tweaked a bit, especially in the southeast where warmer air could mix in bringing more mixed precip/rain showers.
Two records are possible to fall this weekend and Monday
For the entire month of March, our average snowfall is only 4.2″. Our record snowfall for the date on Sunday is 3.6″ in 2002. Also, our record for the coldest high temperature for Monday, March 4th is 20 degrees.
As of now, the forecast high on Monday is just above the old record at 21 degrees due to sunshine. But we are going to see a pretty cold airmass in place for most of next work week.
If you have questions about snow, snowfall, climate, or any other weather, email me, firstname.lastname@example.org