A “fronty” forecast means several chances of storms this holiday weekend

Cbus Weather Nerd

Rain and storms will be in the forecast for much of the extended forecast.  However, most of us will not get rain or storms every day.  It is mainly because of an active “fronty” forecast.  

Here is what to expect day by day through the holiday

Tonight warmer air is lifting northward through the state.  Temps are roughly 20 degrees warmer than they were yesterday, and dewpoints have surged into the 60s.  This will set up a chance of showers and a few strong pop-up storms before midnight tonight.

Thursday we will have what is left of an old system moving through in the morning that could bring some showers.  But our atmosphere will be a bit dirty through the day with some pop-ups possible ahead of a late day cold front.

Ahead of this cold front we could see some stronger storms later in the day, with the best chances in the southeast and eastern part of the state, basically east of I-71 is under a “slight risk”.

The main threats will be strong gusty winds with a few of these pop-up storms.

Friday with the front to the south, and high pressure building in for a day, it will be a drier (rainfall wise) day with temps closer to 80 with a mix of clouds.

That front lifts north for Saturday, as the front lifts to the northern part of the state, we will have pop-up storms moving through the area.  Some of these storms could be strong again on Saturday, but again not everyone will see the rain and storms.

Sunday appears to be our wettest weekend day, as the front will sag south and slowly move through our area and bring showers and a few storms with it as well.  I do not really see a major severe weather threat at this time for Sunday.

The front will stall in northern Kentucky for Memorial Day Monday, but the proximity to our area, will keep rain chances in the forecast for Monday.  At this time, I expect that the best chances will be south of I-70.

Tuesday that front will lift back north, and again, there will be a chance of pop-up storms with the front lifting north.

This will bring temps back into the lower 80s on Tuesday, and into the middle 80s on Wednesday.  Wednesday appears to be a “drier” day, but this will be short lived as a cold front will near later next week with pop-ups ahead of it.

Clearing with a lot of factors at play over the next 7 days, there will be changes in this forecast in rainfall timing, and locations as this boundary shifts its location.

Continue to keep up to date with Storm Team 4 for updates through the holiday weekend.

If you have questions about fronts, climate, or any other weather, email me, dmazza@wcmh.com

-Dave

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