Complete results: NBC4 poll of Ohio’s 15th congressional district

COLUMBUS (WCMH) — This week, NBC4 has been presenting the results of an Emerson College/Nexstar Media Group poll of likely voters in the 15th Congressional District, which includes portions of Columbus and Franklin County.

Below are complete poll results and how we conducted the poll:

The Ohio 15th Congressional District Emerson College/Nexstar Media Group poll was conducted October 14-16, 2021. The sample consisted of Ohio 15th likely voters, 445, with a credibility interval similar to a poll’s margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, race, and region based on 2020 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, party breakdown, ethnicity, and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected via a cellphone sample using SMS-to-web and a landline sample using IVR.

1. What is your party registration?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Democrat	130	29.2	29.2
Republican	168	37.8	67.0
Independent or other	147	33.0	100.0
Total	445	100.0

2. How likely are you to vote in the election on November 2nd?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Somewhat likely	39	8.7	8.7
Very likely	388	87.2	95.8
I already voted	19	4.2	100.0
Total	445	100.0

3. Is your opinion of President Joe Biden generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	150	33.7	33.7
Unfavorable	265	59.6	93.2
No opinion	28	6.2	99.5
I have never heard of this person	2	0.5	100.0
Total	445	100.0

4. Is your opinion of Governor Mike DeWine generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	217	48.7	48.7
Unfavorable	181	40.6	89.3
No opinion	46	10.4	99.7
I have never heard of this person	1	0.3	100.0
Total	445	100.0

5. Is your opinion of Senator Rob Portman generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	145	32.7	32.7
Unfavorable	233	52.2	84.9
No opinion	67	15.0	99.9
I have never heard of this person	0	0.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0

6. Is your opinion of Senator Sherrod Brown generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	187	41.9	41.9
Unfavorable	196	44.0	86.0
No opinion	62	13.9	99.8
I have never heard of this person	1	0.2	100.0
Total	445	100.0

7. Is your opinion of Mike Carey generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	135	30.4	30.4
Unfavorable	183	41.1	71.5
No opinion	86	19.4	90.9
I have never heard of this person	40	9.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0

8. Is your opinion of Allison Russo generally favorable or unfavorable?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Favorable	142	31.9	31.9
Unfavorable	134	30.2	62.0
No opinion	128	28.8	90.8
I have never heard of this person	41	9.2	100.0
Total	445	100.0

9. If the special election for U.S. Congress were held today, who would you vote for?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Democrat Allison Russo	173	38.9	38.9
Republican Mike Carey	222	50.0	88.9
Undecided	49	11.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0

10. Undecideds: Which candidate are you leaning towards at this time?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Democrat Allison Russo	20	4.5	40.7
Republican Mike Carey	29	6.6	100.0
Total	49	11.1

11. How important is it that candidates participate in a debate before an election?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very important	220	49.4	49.4
Somewhat important	106	23.8	73.2
Not that important	87	19.6	92.9
Not important at all	32	7.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0

12. Does President Trump’s endorsement of Mike Carey make you more or less likely to support him?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
More likely	174	39.1	39.1
Less likely	181	40.8	79.9
No difference	89	20.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0

13. Should President Trump run again in 2024?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	186	41.9	41.9
No	209	46.9	88.8
Unsure or no opinion	50	11.2	100.0
Total	445	100.0

14. Thinking about the circumstances surrounding last year’s presidential election, which of the following describes your view of whether President Biden is a legitimate president?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
I accept him as the legitimate president	259	58.1	58.1
I don’t accept him as the legitimate president	186	41.9	100.0
Total	445	100.0

15. Do you support a vaccine mandate?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Yes	165	37.0	37.0
No	216	48.5	85.5
Unsure or no opinion	65	14.5	100.0
Total	445	100.0

16. Which of the following issues is your top priority?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Something else (please specify)	40	9.0	9.0
Healthcare	100	22.4	31.4
Jobs	79	17.8	49.2
Education	30	6.7	55.9
Covid-19	40	9.0	64.9
Corruption	52	11.6	76.5
Immigration	72	16.2	92.7
Infrastructure	32	7.3	100.0
Total	445	100.0

17. How familiar are you with the corruption case regarding House Bill 6?

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
Very familiar	85	19.0	19.0
Somewhat familiar	143	32.1	51.1
Not very familiar	150	33.7	84.9
Not at all familiar	67	15.1	100.0
Total	445	100.0